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woensdag, 12 oktober 2011 21:50
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Amerika en Iran steggelen verder

  • door  Baphomet
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Deze Woensdag wil ik toch nog wat aandacht besteden aan het gesteggel tussen Amerika en Iran dat de laatste twee dagen flink lijkt op te laaien... Nadat de Amerikanen gisteren kwamen met een verklaring waarin zij Iran koppelden aan door de Amerikanen verijdelde aanslagen, zegt Iran nu dat de Amerikanen alles lopen te verzinnen... Het was natuurlijk te verwachten... Economisch gaat het slecht en dus is er weer een oorlog nodig om de boel uit het slop te trekken... Althans in de beleving van hen die jammerlijk genoeg nog steeds de touwtjes in handen hebben...



Op de website van Spits trof ik net een artikel aan, waarin men nog even een flink aantal schepjes boven op de reeds bestaande hoop ellendige beeldvorming neer pleurt... Leest U even mee...???

Iran ontkent dat het betrokken is bij een terreurcomplot in de Verenigde Staten. De Amerikaanse mededelingen erover zijn "een scenario dat van tevoren is gemaakt om de aandacht af te leiden van de binnenlandse problemen in Amerika".

Dat heeft een adviseur van president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad vanavond gezegd nadat de Amerikaanse minister van Justitie Eric Holder bekendmaakte dat twee Iraniërs bomaanslagen wilden plegen op de ambassades van Israël en Saudi-Arabië in Washington.

Een verdachte is gearresteerd, de andere is voortvluchtig. De twee zouden zijn aangestuurd door "elementen binnen de Iraanse regering". Eén van de verdachten werkte volgens Washington voor de Iraanse Revolutionaire Garde, één van de belangrijkste pijlers van het bewind in Teheran.

Ook via staatsmedia wijst Iran de Amerikaanse beschuldigingen van de hand. Staatspersbureau Mehr spreekt van "psychologische oorlogsvoering".


Tja... Ik haalde het in het afgelopen jaar een aantal malen aan, en nu lijkt het ook echt steeds verder spaak te gaan lopen... Mijn gevoel zegt me nog steeds dat er een oorlog aan zit te komen en dat Iran nog wel eens het land kon zijn dat het spreekwoordelijke bokje is... We zullen zien...

Hieronder in de comments kan het wat mij betreft verder...

 

Laatst gewijzigd op: woensdag, 12 oktober 2011 22:12
Reacties op artikel:
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door wodan #43260
Iran is geen Afghanistan of Irak .. Voor Iran moet een grotere en betere trukendoos open getrokken worden ..



Op het punt 'afleidingsmanoeuvre' mbt binnenlandse problemen past dit artikel:
nos.nl/artikel/268675-politiebaas-vs-weg-na-wapenblunder.html
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door wodan #43261
Vlak een ander mogelijk conflict trouwens niet uit: Griekenland vs. Turkije. De 'bakermat' van de westerse 'beschaving'.

Naar het schijnt is de VS al druk bezig met het bewapenen van Griekenland: www.defencegreece.com/index.php/2011/10/the-u-s-approved-to-grant-400-m1a1-abrams-to-greece/ >> hoewel er volgens de Griekse overheid niks van waar is.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43272
Saudis say Iran must ‘pay the price’ for alleged plot as US resists retaliation
Tehran denies it was behind plot to kill Saudi ambassador and says US is using it to divert attention from problems at home

Ewen MacAskill and Saeed Kamali Dehghan

guardian.co.uk, Wednesday 12 October 2011 19.40 BST

www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/oct/12/iran-assassination-plot-saudi-warning

The Saudi Arabian government has issued a menacing warning to Iran that it will have to “pay the price” for the alleged plot to hire a Mexican drugs cartel to assassinate its ambassador in Washington.

The threat from the Saudis came as the Obama administration resisted calls from within the US, mainly from the conservative right, to retaliate against Iran with military action.

But Iran denied it was behind the alleged plot, with officials claiming Washington had fabricated the story to divide Sunni Muslims – the dominant group in Saudi – and Shias, the dominant group in Iran. Tehran’s leadership claimed Barack Obama was using the story to divert attention from the Occupy Wall Street protesters.

The foreign ministry summoned the Swiss ambassador, who handles US interests in the country, to condemn what it called “baseless claims” and warn “against the repetition of such politically motivated allegations.”

A Saudi prince, Turki al-Faisal, a former ambassador to Washington and a former head of the Saudi intelligence service, told a conference in London: “The burden of proof and the amount of evidence in the case is overwhelming, and clearly shows official Iranian responsibility for this. This is unacceptable. Somebody in Iran will have to pay the price.”

The US justice department announced on Tuesday that two men had been charged over the plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to Washington, Adel al-Jubeir, in a bomb explosion at one of his favourite restaurants.

Manssor Arbabsiar

One of the men, Manssor Arbabsiar, an American-Iranian, is alleged to have sought the help of a Mexican drugs cartel, Zetas, to provide explosives and carry out the attack. The other man, Gholam Shakuri, is in Iran, according to the US.

Relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran have long been strained, exacerbated this year by the Saudis sending forces into neighbouring Bahrain to help put down protesters, many of them Shia Muslims.

In spite of increased tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran as a result of the episode, the alleged plot is being met with scepticism within the diplomatic community, as well as from foreign affairs analysts specialising in Iran, who said the plot was amateurish and did not fit in the usual Iranian modus operandi, and questioned what Iran would gain from such an episode.

A former western diplomat with an intimate knowledge of Iranian affairs said: “I don’t believe Iran’s regime was behind the plot. If we assume it was Iran’s plot, it would seem like a group of professional gangsters hiring a careless agent for their most important project. It’s impossible.”

Fresh details emerged on Wednesday about Arbabsiar, the man at the centre of the supposed plot, who appeared in court in New York on Tuesday charged with conspiracy, and who is allegedly linked to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.

He was a car salesman in Corpus Christi, Texas, where he ran a number of businesses, largely unsuccessful. He does not fit the usual profile of an Iranian agent, who tend to be professional.

The US is taking the issue to the UN security council to seek action against Iran – but it will need to offer evidence to back its claim. One of the main pieces of evidence is a $100,000 sum transferred to the US, allegedly from Iran, as a downpayment for the assassination attempt.

Susan Rice, the UN ambassador to the UN, and a team of experts from the justice department, were briefing individual members of the security council about the plot on Wednesday.

“It is a dangerous esclation of Iran’s long-scale use of violence,” Jay Carney, the White House spokesman, told reporters at a briefing. On a possible military response, he said no options had been taken off the table, but emphasised that the US was focusing on diplomatic and economic measures against Iran, including new sanctions against an airline accused of transporting revolutionary guard personnel.

The vice-president Joe Biden, in an ABC television interview, said the administration was focused on mounting a major diplomatic effort to persuade its allies in Europe and elsewhere to impose tougher economic sanctions on Iran.

As the State Department issued a three-month worldwide travel alert for American citizens, secretary of state Hillary Clinton described the alleged plot as a “reckless act”.

“Such worn-out approaches are … part of the special scenarios staged and pursued by the enemies of Islam and the region to sow discord among Muslims,” the semi-official Fars news agency quoted foreign ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast as saying.

Fars also quoted Alaoddin Boroujerdi, the head of the parliamentary committee on national security and foreign policy, who said: “No doubt this is a new American-Zionist plot to divert the public opinion from the crisis Obama is grappling with.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43276
#Spionnen Zo’n scenario verzin je niet, dus het moet wel waar zijn.
The Naked Gun: the Teheran Files
Door: Mark van Assen

Gepubliceerd: gisteren 21:26
Update: vandaag 06:40

www.depers.nl/buitenland/602751/The-Teheran-Files.html

Amerika claimt dat Iran aanslagen wilde plegen in Washington. Maar ja, waarom? Waarom nu? En waarom zo?

Wat is er precies gebeurd?

Twee Iraanse mannen, Manssor Arbabsiar en Gholam Shakuri, worden ervan verdacht een bomaanslag te hebben willen plegen op de Saoedische ambassadeur in Washington. Plaats van handeling: een druk restaurant in de hoofdstad. Dat had dus heel veel slachtoffers gekost.

Ook zouden ze het gemunt hebben op de Israëlische en Saoedische ambassades, niet alleen in de VS, maar ook in Buenos Aires. Ze liepen tegen de lamp omdat de Mexicaanse huurmoordenaar die ze dachten in te schakelen een informant was van de DEA (Drug Enforcement Administration).

Hoe zeker zijn de Verenigde Staten van hun zaak?
Zowel minister Hillary Clinton van Buitenlandse Zaken als vicepresident Joe Biden neemt de zaak erg hoog op. Clinton concludeerde na de woorden van haar collega Eric Holden van Justitie (‘Deze samenzwering is bedacht in, gesteund door en geleid vanuit Iran’) dat er ‘een zeer duidelijke boodschap’ moet volgen. Ook Biden houdt Teheran verantwoordelijk voor het ‘complot’. Hij zegt dat zijn regering in gesprek is met de internationale gemeenschap over een ‘gepaste reactie’.

Ligt het voor de hand dat Iran erbij betrokken is?
Eerlijk gezegd: nee. Iran heeft niet zoveel te winnen bij een oorlog tegen de VS. Die zou zeker op stapel hebben gestaan als de bommen inderdaad waren afgegaan.

Het is bekend dat Washington en Teheran geen vrienden zijn, met name vanwege het nucleaire programma van Iran. Daar komt bij dat president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad bij zo ongeveer elke gelegenheid loopt te schelden op Israël, Amerika’s grote bondgenoot in het Midden-Oosten. Maar om je nou met een paar bommen in Washington een oorlog op de hals te halen, is een tweede.

Waarom wijst Amerika meteen naar Iran?

De verdachten zouden banden hebben met de gevreesde Revolutionaire Garde, een elite-eenheid die losstaat van het gewone leger. De gardisten zijn hardliners die zeker tot zoiets in staat moeten worden geacht.

Maar de vraag is wel waarom ze het op deze manier zouden aanpakken. Het geheel is namelijk bijzonder knullig opgezet. Welke Iraniër met snode plannen in de VS benadert nou via de telefoon een huurmoordenaar van het Mexicaanse drugskartel Los Zetas? Dat zijn mensen die voor drie peseta’s hun bloedeigen moeder omleggen, dus waarom zou je die zoiets delicaats als een aanslag op de Saoedische ambassadeur toevertrouwen?

Clinton gebruikt dit argument overigens juist als bewijs: dit verzin je niet, dus het moet wel waar zijn.

Wat zegt Iran?
Een woordvoerder van de regering heeft elke betrokkenheid ontkend: ‘Er is geen enkele reden voor dit soort kinderachtig gedrag.’ Ook is er volgens Teheran geen enkele reden om de Saoedische ambassadeur aan te vallen: ‘Wij hebben normale relaties met Saoedi-Arabië.’

De woordvoerder noemt het verder een ‘goedkope affaire’. Door het te hypen,verbloemt Amerika volgens hem zijn echte problemen. Er is ooit een film gemaakt (Wag the dog) waarin de VS een oorlog in Albanië verzinnen omdat de president een minderjarig meisje heeft verkracht. Maar een échte oorlog tegen Iran als afleiding? No way.

Welke rol speelt Saoedi-Arabië hier?
Iran kan wel zeggen dat het ‘normale relaties’ heeft met de Saoedi’s, maar dat is natuurlijk niet zo. De twee landen strijden al een tijdje om de macht in het Midden-Oosten. Daar komt bij dat de Saoedi’s soennieten zijn en de Iraniërs sjiieten; die kunnen elkaar per definitie niet uitstaan.

Onlangs nog sloeg de Saoedische politie met geweld een sjiietische demonstratie in het oosten uiteen. Daar zit een sjiietische minderheid die steeds nadrukkelijker opkomt voor haar rechten. Detail: de sjiieten wonen op een enorme hoeveelheid olie.

Je zou zelfs kunnen argumenteren dat Saoedi-Arabië een zeker belang heeft bij een ‘verijdelde aanslag’ op zijn ambassadeur in de VS. En daar hoef je niet eens een héél grote complotdenker voor te zijn. Het is de ideale manier om Iran weg te zetten als een laffe staatsterrorist die op andermans bodem een bom laat ontploffen, alleen maar om een soenniet uit de weg te ruimen. In de gepolariseerde verhoudingen tussen beide geloofsgroepen gaat dit soort scenario’s er in als koek. Dat is niet cynisch. Dit soort dingen gebeurt.

Ís er eigenlijk wel iets aan de hand?
Dat lijkt een stomme vraag, maar het zou niet de eerste keer zijn dat een Amerikaanse veiligheidsdienst de plank volledig misslaat.

Bijzonder pijnlijk is het verhaal van de Indiase praatjesmaker Hemant Lakhani. In een reportage van het radioprogramma This American Life werd uit de doeken gedaan hoe iemand die eigenlijk geen kwaad in de zin had uiteindelijk werd opgepakt op verdenking van terrorisme.

Lakhani was een handelaar die een potentiële koper van alles en nog wat beloofde om maar een deal te kunnen sluiten. Hij werd door een informant van de FBI zodanig opgefokt (‘We hebben een luchtdoelraket nodig, kun je die leveren?’ – ‘Ja, natuurlijk!’) dat hij uiteindelijk de FBI-informant via een FBI-handelaar een FBI-raket verkocht. Pure fictie dus.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43277
Nog vreemder dan een film
www.spitsnieuws.nl/archives/buitenland/2011/10/nog-vreemder-dan-een-film


De Amerikanen begonnen er zelf al over. Het verijdelde Iraanse complot om de Saudische ambassadeur te vermoorden op Amerikaanse grond lijkt wel erg op een Hollywoodscenario.

Het zou zomaar een plot bedacht kunnen zijn door Tom Clancy, bestsellerauteur van thrillers waarin inlichtingendiensten en politiek een belangrijke rol spelen. Of een script van een Hollywood-film, zoals FBI-directeur Robert Mueller zelf het volgende scenario beschrijft.

Kinderlijk
Een Iraniër met Amerikaans paspoort en banden met Quds, een speciale eenheid van de Iraanse Revolutionaire Garde, benadert een Mexicaans drugskartel om de Saudische ambassadeur in de Verenigde Staten te vermoorden. Teheran stelt in een reactie op de bekendmaking van het complot door Mueller, niet verwonderlijk, juist dat het verhaal verzonnen is, en kinderlijk.

Volgens de invloedrijke Saudische prins Turki bin Faisal Al Saud is het bewijs voor de betrokkenheid van het Iraanse bewind overweldigend en zal ‘iemand in Iran hiervoor moeten boeten’.

Maar sinds 9/11 weten we dat de realiteit de meest ongeloofwaardige filmscenario’s kan overtreffen – ervan uitgaande dat 9/11 geen inside job was, uiteraard. Dus wie verzint zo iets, is de hamvraag. Quds? Of toch misschien de Amerikaanse overheid zelf? Complot of complottheorie?

Onprofessioneel
Professor Juan Cole, een goed ingevoerde Amerikaanse Midden-Oostendeskundige, wijst er fijntjes op dat de CIA (en andere Amerikaanse inlichtingendiensten) sinds 9/11 geldstromen via het bancaire systeem nauwgezet volgen. „Niemand binnen Quds is zo stom dat niet te weten”, schreef hij gisteren.

‘Follow the money’ is ook in Teheran bekend. De twee betalingen van $50.000, gedaan door hoofdverdachte Manssor Arbabsiar aan een FBI-undercoveragent, zijn dus bijzonder onprofessioneel. De Amerikanen zelf geven hoog op over de professionaliteit van Quds. Als Quds echt achter de plannen zou zitten en een aanslag op Amerikaans grondgebied zou willen plegen, zou dat een trendbreuk sinds vijftien jaar zijn, zegt de Nederlands-Iraanse politicoloog Peyman Jafari, verbonden aan de Universiteit van Amsterdam. Jafari vindt dit het meest onlogische scenario. Meer waarschijnlijk is dat losse Quds-elementen de mislukte actie hebben opgezet, stelt Jafari (35), in 1987 met zijn ouders naar Nederland gevlucht.

Net als Jafari vermoedt Amerikadeskundige Willem Post dat een losse cel de actie kan hebben beraamd. „Met een drugskartel in zee gaan, is voor Quds amateuristisch. Het is in ieder geval ongekend, een wanhoopsdaad.” Post, verbonden aan Instituut Clingendael, denkt dat Iran hierdoor verder in een isolement kan komen, en Saudi-Arabië juist zijn invloed in de regio kan vergroten. En daar zou de VS alleen maar blij mee zijn.

Politicoloog Jafari zet evenveel geld op een derde scenario: er was nooit sprake van een complot, maar we hebben te maken met een complottheorie. „Verzonnen door de VS om Iran internationaal te isoleren.”

Strafmaatregelen

De Amerikaanse vicepresident Joe Biden zei gisteren dat zijn land alle opties openhoudt voor strafmaatregelen tegen Iran. Waar gaan de Amerikaanse soldaten na de terugtrekking uit Irak en Afghanistan naartoe? „Weggaan uit de regio zonder een oplossing voor Iran te bedenken, is geen optie”, zegt Jafari. Hij voegt er aan toe dat hoewel een groot deel van de Iraniërs graag een regime change wil, dat niet betekent dat ze blij zullen zijn met een Amerikaanse bezettingsmacht. „Zeker niet de Amerikanen, die in 1953 een staatsgreep in Iran pleegden.”

Amerikaanse reizigers en diplomaten wereldwijd moeten ondertussen alert zijn op mogelijke anti-Amerikaanse acties, stelt Washington. De reiswaarschuwing is vooralsnog drie maanden van kracht.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43278
www.youtube.com/embed/DH8DQLMYnxA
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door FreeElectron #43280
En zo belangrijk, jongens en meisjes, is het nou om je geschiedenis te kennen.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door blackbox #43335
Hillary: "Nobody Could Make That Up, Right?"




by Zen Gardner

"The idea that they would attempt to go to a Mexican drug cartel to solicit murder-for-hire to kill the Saudi ambassador? Nobody could make that up, right?" Clinton said shortly after U.S. prosecutors accused two suspected Iranian agents of trying to murder Saudi envoy Adel Al-Jubeir.

Since you asked, yes. Someone could make that up, and did.

This is the same reverse psychology your neocon predecessor Rice used, Hillary. "Who could have imagined planes flying into the twin towers or Pentagon?"

Hey, we know who, and you know who. Cut the crap.

Low Budget False Flag

I think this latest phony "plot" is false flag warfare on a budget. Perfectly timed and placed supposed Iranian terrorist patsy looking for a hit man guess where? Right amongst the Mexican drug lords Clinton and Holder are under fire about arming! Who'd a thunk?

And what do you know...not only is this a timely major distraction from some nasty domestic problems, what a nice excuse to crank it up a few notches in their itch to attack Iran! As usual, several birds with one flag.

Transparency At Last!

And it's all so obvious I think that promised "transparency" is here after all!

Here's more of the article in today's lead news:

US aims to punish Iran for Saudi envoy plot

U.S. officials say the administration will lobby for the imposition of new international sanctions as well as for individual nations to expand their own penalties against Iran based on allegations that Iranian agents tried to recruit a purported member of a Mexican drug cartel to kill the Saudi envoy on American soil.

"This really, in the minds of many diplomats and government officials, crosses a line that Iran needs to be held to account for," Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton told The Associated Press in an interview Tuesday. She said she and President Barack Obama want to "enlist more countries in working together against what is becoming a clearer and clearer threat" from Iran.

Who's the real terrorist?

Who's busy dealing out more terror than is calculable? All while zombified Americans swallow this tripe day after day. Let's continue with this insanity, which leads up to Clinton's confession...

Clinton and other U.S. officials said the alleged plot is a gross violation of international law and further proof that Iran is the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism, a label Washington has for decades applied to the Iranian government. The officials said it also underscores concerns that despite its denials Iran is trying to develop nuclear weapons under cover of a civilian atomic energy program.

"The idea that they would attempt to go to a Mexican drug cartel to solicit murder-for-hire to kill the Saudi ambassador? Nobody could make that up, right?"
Yes, once again, she actually said that. She just had to address the collective subconscious thinking that very thing. Yes, Hillary, someone could make that up. That's what government does. Why wouldn't you? You've done it over and over.

What's to make us believe a damn thing you say?

More Convenient Untruths

And why the Saudi Ambassador?

Obama called al-Jubeir on Tuesday to declare that the foiled assassination plot was a "flagrant" violation of U.S. and international law, the White House said. The president expressed solidarity with Saudi Arabia and said he was committed to ensuring the security of diplomats in the United States.
Ah, solidarity. After all, whose bases does the US repeatedly use for these monstrous forays in the region and whose support does it need for an attack on Iran? Mega wealthy Saudi Arabia houses a plethora of American bases and war machinery, the same stuff the Saudis are rolling in with to murder Bahrainian protesters while the West turns a blind eye.

Bravo to the Iranian "Cheap Claims and Childish Acts" Response!

Iran's parliament speaker, Ali Larijani, called the Justice Department's claims a "childish game."

"These are cheap claims. By giving it a wide media coverage, it was evident that they are trying to cover up their own problems," Larijani told an open session of the parliament Wednesday.

"They (Americans) suffered a political stroke and learned that they had begun a childish game," he said. "We have normal relations with the Saudis. There is no reason for Iran to carry out such childish acts."

In New York, Alireza Miryousefi, head of the press office of the Iranian mission to the United Nations, sent Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon a letter "to express our outrage" over the allegations.

"The U.S. allegation is, obviously, a politically-motivated move and a showcase of its long-standing animosity toward the Iranian nation," the letter said. (source) (emphases mine)

There you have it...again

The war drums are pounding, and just in time. This will escalate quickly to keep it front and center in the news, burying the many stories nailing Clinton and Holder in the Fast and Furious Mexican drug gang arms scandal, the usual MO. This will also help push the massive Occupy American movement to the back burner where they want it.

Other idiots are again calling for a preemptive strike on Iran, so expect more frenzied false actions and hyped up reporting to fill the air with flak. This was expected. There will be more tricks soon.

They're up to no good. That's the bottom line. Those in power do not represent the people. They rule the people to their own aims with impunity.

Stay free and clear from their machinations while exposing it however you can.

But do watch your step.

Love, Zen


www.zengardner.com
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door FreeElectron #43336
Als de eerste "Attack Iran!" draadjes op GLP verschijnen weten we genoeg.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43402
Opium uit Iran
vrijdag 14 oktober 2011
www.stelling.nl/kleintje/actueel/PJDQ1318579899.html


Het verhaal wordt steeds dunner.
Geen hond gelooft nog dat een elitaire Iraanse veiligheidsdienst, via een verkoper van tweedehands auto’s in Texas, in zee zou gaan met de Mexicaanse drugsmaffia om een Saoedische ambassadeur om te leggen.

Al is het alleen maar omdat Iran niets anders met een dergelijke aanslag had kunnen bereiken dan nauwere banden tussen de VS en Saoedi Arabië.


En dat is het laatste waar ze in Teheran behoefte aan hebben. Het bewijs tegen Manssor Arbabsiar bestaat uit de verklaring van een DEA-informant, die beweert dat deze Iranees met een Amerikaans paspoort ‘onder andere geïnteresseerd was in een aanslag op de ambassade van Saoedi Arabië’.
Dat wil zeggen, nadat de DEA-agent dit zelf had gesuggereerd, want de aanwijzingen dat het om een sting operation ging stapelen zich op in de VS.

Daarbij draaide het vooral om dat ‘onder andere’, bestaande uit de leverantie van een grote partij opium. Veiligheidsdiensten in Iran nemen heel wat van dat uit Afghanistan afkomstig spul in beslag en zouden zeer zeker bereid zijn om dat aan de Mexicaanse onderwereld te leveren. Tel daar de wapendeal tussen de VS en de Mexicaanse maffiajongens bij op en het plaatje raakt steeds verder ingevuld.

Een interessant terzijde bij dit alles is het recente gerucht dat de DEA-agent in kwestie eerder in de VS tegen de lamp liep in verband met een drugsvergrijp. Hij zou toen aan vervolging zijn ontkomen door voortaan als informant op te treden. Van dat soort jongens moet je het uiteraard hebben; zeer betrouwbaar.

Dat de zaak aan alle kanten rammelt weet Barack Obama natuurlijk ook. Toch zegt hij geen enkele optie uit te sluiten, wat betekent dat een militaire actie tegen Iran tot de mogelijkheden behoort. Om de gaten in de bewijsvoering te dichten tovert de Amerikaanse president een bekend konijn uit de hoed, want hij zou over geheime informatie beschikken dat de opdracht uit Iran kwam. Dat zal dan wel geheime informatie zijn van dezelfde categorie die bijna tien jaar geleden de weg opende naar een oorlog tegen Saddam Hoessein. Je vraagt je of hoe ze in Washington nog denken daarmee weg te kunnen komen.

Maar wedden dat ze het in Den Haag gaan pikken? Ondertussen lopen de neocons en de baasjes van AIPAC met een grote glimlach op hun snoet. Want wie weet stopt Sinterklaas een aanval op Iran in hun schoen.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43463
If U.S. has proof, U.N. can be won over on Iran plot
By Louis Charbonneau

UNITED NATIONS | Thu Oct 13, 2011 5:02pm EDT

www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/13/us-usa-security-iran-un-idUSTRE79C6KX20111013

(Reuters) – If the United States has evidence and plays its cards right, history shows that it can win the powerful U.N. Security Council to its side in the case of Iran’s alleged plot to assassinate a Saudi ambassador.

The United States has accused Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps elite Quds Force of orchestrating a plot to assassinate Saudi Arabia’s envoy to Washington and suggested it could push for council action against Iran.

Iran denies the U.S. allegations, which Tehran’s U.N. Ambassador Mohammad Khazaee said in a letter to U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and the Security Council was U.S. “warmongering” and an “evil plot” against Tehran.

U.S. Ambassador Susan Rice forwarded details of the case against Iran to Ban, telling him that Tehran’s actions were “a serious threat to international peace and security.” She said Washington was speaking with council members about the case and asked Ban to forward the case details to the General Assembly.

The U.S. delegation has not made up its mind whether to approach the council with the Iranian case. But diplomats say that Washington is considering it.

“They haven’t settled on a game plan yet,” a council ambassador told Reuters. “They’re considering all options. More sanctions, a resolution, a condemnation, it’s all possible.”

If the United States follows the example of previous U.S. administrations and presents its case at a public meeting of the 15-nation Security Council, it might be able to galvanize public support against doubters and critics who have suggested that the new charges against Iran border on the preposterous

That was the case during the 1962 Cuban missile crisis, when U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Adlai Stevenson unveiled during a televised council meeting photos taken by U-2 spy planes of Soviet missiles and launch pads on Cuba and confronted Soviet Ambassador Valerian Zorin with the charges.

“Do you, Ambassador Zorin, deny that the U.S.S.R. has placed and is placing medium- and intermediate-range missiles and sites in Cuba? Yes or no?”

The Soviet envoy refused to give a definite answer, telling Stevenson: “I am not in an American courtroom.”

“You are in the courtroom of world opinion right now, and you can answer yes or no,” Stevenson responded. He never got a clear answer from Zorin, and the Soviet veto power made it impossible to get any formal Security Council action against the Soviets.

But Washington did win in the “courtroom of world opinion.” On that same day, October 23, 1962, the Organization of American States unanimously backed the U.S. plan to impose a naval blockade around Cuba to stop further missile shipments.

In 1983, U.S. Ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick played an audio recording of a Soviet interceptor pilot involved in the shooting down of Korean Airlines flight 007 over the Sea of Japan, which killed all 269 passengers and crew. Afterwards, it was impossible for the Soviets to deny their involvement.

‘GOOD THEATER’

But recent history also shows that if the evidence is weak, skeptics on the Security Council — the only U.N. body with the power to impose sanctions or authorize military force — will prevail and Washington will be unable to bring it around.

That was the case with U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell’s February 2003 speech to the Security Council in which he presented U.S. intelligence on Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein’s alleged nuclear, biological and chemical weapons programs.

Perhaps attempting to follow in Stevenson’s and Kirkpatrick’s footsteps, Powell’s speech had visual aids — images, audio recordings, even a small vial of white powder that was intended to look like enough deadly anthrax to kill off the entire U.S. Senate.

That speech, based on evidence that is now known to have been erroneous, did nothing to sway the skeptical French, Russians and Germans, who eventually forced the frustrated United States and Britain to abandon their efforts to secure a U.N. green light for their March 2003 invasion of Iraq.

David Bosco, a professor at American University in Washington, said using the council can be good “public theater” but may not convince doubting council members.

“Dramatic public presentations are usually more effective at swaying domestic public opinion than other states,” he said. “Powell’s speech didn’t change the dynamic on the council in terms of support for the war, but it was a major hit at home.”

U.N. diplomats said that Washington was already doing the preliminary work to persuade council members of the strength of a case that a number of analysts have raised questions about. Many analysts say they find it hard to believe that the Quds force would behave as stupidly as the case documents suggest.

Envoys said a team of experts from the Central Intelligence Agency, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Drug Enforcement Administration and State and Justice Departments joined Rice and her Saudi counterpart on Wednesday to brief council members on the details of the plot.

The allegations against Iran made a strong impression on some diplomats but clearly did not sway all of them.

French Ambassador Gerard Araud described the allegations as “credible and very convincing,” adding that France would be “very supportive” of any U.S. initiative at the council.

Russian Ambassador Vitaly Churkin said Moscow would “look at it very, very seriously.” Chinese envoy Li Baodong said only that he had “sent it back to Beijing.”

Council diplomats said that Washington had dispatched teams of CIA, FBI and DEA experts to Moscow and Beijing, which are among the council’s most skeptical members and hold a veto.

Brazil’s U.N. Ambassador Maria Luiza Ribeiro Viotti appeared less than convinced, however, suggesting to reporters the U.S. judicial process should be allowed to play out first.

Council envoys say the other two members of the five-nation “BRICS” club of powerful emerging market nations — India and South Africa — might also be hard sells for Washington. The BRICS — Brazil, Russia, India, China and the South Africa — have resisted Western efforts on Syria and other issues.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43544



Phony Terror Plot Stamped "Mossad/CIA/FBI" From Day One. Within 24 hours of the announcement of a new Iranian plot, the truth started leaking out. That leak is now a flood. The FBI made up the whole thing, invented it and you and they aren't going to get away with it. Why something this outrageous, this incompetent? Israel is increasingly isolated in the international arena, the international banksters are panicking with this occupy planet earth revolution springing up all over, the Fast and Furious apocalypse has the potential to bring down the US government... and the public trust in the US administration has reached an all time low. Nobody believes the bullshit anymore. TPTW are absolutely desperate to create a distraction and toss the blame onto their next boogieman. Its not working anymore.

Former CIA Michael Scheuer on FOX NEWS: Israel & Saudi Arabia Behind Iranian Terror Plot:


FBI Insider says Iran plot creation of White House. No information at all about plot within the FBI: whatreallyhappened.com/content/fbi-insider-says-iran-plot-creation-whi...

Former CIA agent Robert Baer said the culpability of the Iranian leadership is not believable: news.antiwar.com/2011/10/12/no-direct-evidence-of-iranian-government-c...

Fast And Furious: 22 Shocking Facts About The Scandal That Could Bring Down The Obama Administration: bit.ly/rlkyyQ

Must see: Ray McGovern, member of Veterans For Peace and former senior analyst at the CIA discusses how the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate thwarted the Bush administration's push for war, Israel's increasing isolation as its allies depart en masse, Obama's acute vulnerability to the "Likud lobby's" influence during his reelection bid; the former Mossad chiefs who worry about Netanyahu's warmongering; and whether military leadership will speak up to Israel to avoid war with Iran -- like admirals Mullen and Fallon did in 2007.
antiwar.com/radio/2011/10/05/ray-mcgovern-32/

Ex-Mossad chief: Attack on Iran foolish
www.presstv.ir/detail/178886.html

The Zionist Bankers Want America To Lose World War III: www.facebook.com/note.php?note_id=103439846429808

Youtube Version:


Watch Rivero's Entire 2011-10-13 Broadcast Here: www.justin.tv/michaelrivero/b/297403308 Keep an eye on www.whatreallyhappened.com/
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43626
Lekkage in Washington
dinsdag 18 oktober 2011
www.stelling.nl/kleintje/actueel/MVHD1318926691.html


Overtuigende bewijzen dat Iran opdracht gaf tot een moordaanslag op Adel al-Jubeir, de ambassadeur van Saoedi Arabië in de VS, schitteren nog steeds door afwezigheid. Wat doe je in zo’n geval? Dan ga je lekken naar de media om in ieder geval de schijn op te houden. Dat in een dergelijke proces kleine onvolkomenheden optreden, mag de pret niet drukken, al trapt lang niet iedereen daarin. Wij in ieder geval niet.

Zo beweerde The Washington Post onlangs dat Abdul Reza Shahlai, een van de twee verdachten in verband met de vermeende samenzwering tegen al-Jubeir, eerder betrokken was bij aanslagen in Irak. Shahlai zou in januari 2007 verantwoordelijk zijn geweest voor een aanslag in Karbala, waarbij vijf Amerikaanse soldaten gedood werden en drie gewond.
Volgens Peter Finn van The Post liep het spoor destijds naar sjiieten en daarmee naar Iran. Volgens Finn was Shahlai ‘the guiding hand behind an elite group of gunmen from the feared militia of the cleric Moqtada al-Sadr.’ Finn voegde daaraan toe dat Shahlai betrokken was bij de training van al-Sadrs milities in Iran. Hij verwees verder naar een document waarin de voorbereidingen voor de aanslag in Karbala werden omschreven. Dat bracht hij vervolgens in verband met de Quds-divisie, de eenheid in Iran waar de kranten de afgelopen week vol over hebben gestaan.

Dat rapport bewijst op zich al niets over de betrokkenheid van Shahlai bij de aanslag in Karbala, maar daar blijft het niet bij. Want waar Finn verder volledig aan voorbij ging, is dat de Amerikanen na de aanslag in Karbala geen ‘direct bewijs’ konden vinden voor Iraanse betrokkenheid.

Toen generaal David Petraeus daar in april 2007 vragen van journalisten over beantwoordde, zei hij: ‘No. No. No. … We do not have a direct link to Iran involvement in that particular case.’
Twee maanden later verklaarde generaal Kevin Bergner bovendien dat de opdracht tot de aanslag in Karbala werd gegeven door een plaatselijke militieleider, waarbij eens te meer bevestigd werd dat niets in de richting van Iran wees.

Nu moeten we The Washington Post geloven dat het toch anders zat. Een erg doorzichtige, om niet te zeggen domme, poging om het ene gat in de bewijsvoering met het andere te vullen. Maar wat doet het ertoe? In Den Haag zal het zeker als geloofwaardig worden beschouwd. Die oorlog tegen Iran moet er per slot van rekening komen.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #43659
Wie is Gholam Shakuri?
woensdag 19 oktober 2011
www.stelling.nl/kleintje/actueel/IHSQ1319018311.html


Opmerkelijke verklaring van de Iraanse regering over Gholam Shakuri, de in de VS genoemde verdachte in verband met de moordplannen op de Saoedische ambassadeur Adel al-Jubeir.
In de VS heet Shakuri deel uit te maken van de beruchte Quds-divisie, maar daar wordt in Iran anders over gedacht. Daar beweert men dat Shakuri een ‘sleutelrol’ heeft binnen de Mujahedeen e-Kalq (MeK), een oorspronkelijk op islamitische en marxistische denkbeelden gebaseerde beweging, die zeer vijandig tegenover de regering van Iran staat.

Shakuri wordt nu niet alleen gezocht door justitie in de VS, want naar verluidt zijn ook de autoriteiten in Iran al een tijd naar hem op zoek. Shakuri zou op zijn vlucht gebruik maken van valse paspoorten met de namen Ali Shakuri en Gholam-Hussein Shakuri. Volgens media in Iran was het ‘plot’ tegen de Saoedische ambassadeur in feite een poging van MeK om Iran in diskrediet te brengen.

Als het zo zat, lijkt de opzet van MeK aardig geslaagd. Staat tegenover dat de beschuldigingen in die richting ook heel goed door Iran bedoeld zouden kunnen zijn als denkmantel voor heel andere zaken. Zoals de ambitie van hoge Iraanse militairen tot een grote drugstransactie met de Mexicaanse maffia, die in de VS vervolgens heel opportunistisch werd vertaald als een plan om de Saoedische ambassadeur te vermoorden. Die kanttekening maakt de vraag wie Shakuri in werkelijkheid is echter niet minder interessant.
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #44541
U.S. Indicts Two Iranians for Saudi Diplomat Assassination Plot
October 21, 2011
By Patricia Hurtado
www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-21/u-s-indicts-two-iranians-for-saudi-diplomat-assassination-plot.html



Oct. 21 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. indicted two Iranian men on charges they attempted to use a weapon of mass destruction to assassinate Saudi Arabia’s ambassador in Washington.

Manssor Arbabsiar, 56, an Iranian-American car salesman living in Texas, and Gholam Shakuri, who the U.S. said was an Iran-based member of that country’s “Qods Force,” attempted to recruit a man posing as a member of a violent Mexican drug cartel as their assassin, according to a five-count indictment filed yesterday in U.S. District Court in Manhattan.

The recruited assassin was secretly working for the U.S. Drug Enforcement Agency, prosecutors said when charges were announced Oct. 11. Others from the Qods Force in Iran were also involved and helped bankroll the plot, which was to have cost $1.5 million, according to a criminal complaint filed at the same time.

Both are accused by the federal grand jury of conspiring to commit a terrorist act that would “kill and maim persons within the United States and create a substantial risk of serious bodily injury to others by destroying and damaging structures, conveyances and other real and personal property.”

Arbabsiar could be sentenced to life in prison if convicted of all charges against him, prosecutors said.

Arraignment

Manhattan U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara said yesterday that Arbabsiar is scheduled to be arraigned before U.S. District Judge John Keenan in New York on Oct. 24.

Sabrina Shroff, a lawyer for Arbabsiar, didn’t immediately respond to a voice-mail message seeking comment on the indictment. She has stated previously that her client intends to plead not guilty to the charges.

Shakuri is at large, the U.S. said. The U.S. State Department has described the Qods Force as an arm of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps that conducts “covert operations abroad” and has sponsored attacks against U.S. coalition forces in Iraq.

The indictment mirrors the criminal complaint, which was unveiled by Attorney General Eric Holder. The U.S. said Iran sponsored the plot to use a weapon of mass destruction, in this case C-4 plastic explosives, to murder Ambassador Adel Al-Jubeir and a second scheme to attack Saudi installations in the U.S.

‘Foreign Government Facilities’

Targets included “foreign government facilities associated with Saudi Arabia and with another country,” the U.S. said in the original complaint.

The plotters also targeted Israel’s embassy in Washington, as well as the embassies of Israel and Saudi Arabia in Argentina, according to a federal law enforcement official familiar with the matter.

The alleged plot was “directed and approved by elements of the Iranian government,” Holder said last week. “High-up officials in those agencies, which is an integral part of the Iranian government, were responsible.”

Iran said it “categorically” rejected the claim, which it described as an “evil plot.”

The case is U.S. v. Arbabsiar, 11-cr-892, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan)
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door fr3bzy #44673
1 jaar, 7 maanden geleden door combi #44753
EU leaders threaten Iran and Syria with more sanctions
By David Brunnstrom

BRUSSELS | Sun Oct 23, 2011 1:38pm EDT
theunhivedmind.com/wordpress/?p=8135


(Reuters) – European leaders warned Iran on Sunday it would face tougher sanctions if it failed to address concerns about its nuclear programme and said they would tighten restrictions on Syria if it continued to repress its population.

At a Brussels summit, the 27 EU states called on Iran to engage in “constructive and substantial talks” with Western powers to bring about a negotiated solution to the nuclear question “to avoid possible future restrictive measures.”

EU leaders called in a statement for the preparation of new sanctions “to be implemented at the appropriate moment in the case that Iran continues not to cooperate seriously nor to meet its obligations.”

They also warned Syria the European Union “will impose further and more comprehensive measures against the regime as long as the repression of the civilian population continues.”

Washington and the European Union have already pushed four rounds of sanctions through the United Nations over Iran’s nuclear programme as well as unilateral measures that have deterred Western investment in Iran’s oil sector and made it harder to move money in and out of the country.

On Saturday, Iran dismissed a threat by Washington to impose sanctions on its central bank in response to an alleged assassination plot, saying the United Nations would block the plan and other central banks would not accept it.

Imposing sanctions on the central bank would make it more difficult for Iran to receive payment for exports — particularly oil, a vital source of hard currency for the world’s fifth biggest crude exporter.

However, any new U.N. action would require need the assent of permanent Security Council members Russia and China, which backed previous rounds of sanctions but may be hard to persuade to go further on the basis of the allegations made so far.

NUCLEAR TALKS OFFER

The European warning to Iran came after EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton responded last week to an Iranian offer to resume talks by saying there must be no repeat of the last round in January, which ended with no progress.

Ashton has been leading efforts on behalf of the United States, Britain, France, Germany, as well as China and Russia, to negotiate with Tehran over its nuclear activities, which the West believes is aimed at building atomic bombs.

Iran has said it is willing to resume discussions, but insists that other countries recognize its right to enrich uranium, which the West sees as an unacceptable precondition.

Ashton said the six would be willing to resume talks in weeks if Iran was ready to discuss concrete confidence-building measures without pre-conditions. Iran says its nuclear programme is for peaceful production of energy.

The European Union already tightened sanctions against Syria this month, adding the Commercial Bank of Syria to a list of entities sanctioned in protest against repression of dissent.

The United Nations says 3,000 people have died in the unrest in Syria, including at least 187 children. The U.N. human rights chief has demanded that the world act to stop the carnage and warned of full-blown civil war in the country.

The EU imposed an embargo on crude oil imports from Syria in September and banned EU firms from new investment in its oil industry. It also imposed sanctions on the main mobile phone firm, Syriatel, and the largest private company, Cham Holding.

However, the effect of the EU sanctions has been blunted by the blocking by Russia and China of a U.N. resolution that could have led to broader imposition of such steps.

The EU leaders urged “all members of the U.N. Security Council to assume their responsibilities in relation to the situation in Syria.”

-------------------------------------------------

aaah toevallig;

SYRIA MAY SWITCH TO RUBLE FROM EURO

Syria May Switch to Ruble From Euro, Central Bank Governor Says

October 20, 2011
By Henry Meyer
www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-20/syria-may-switch-to-ruble-from-euro-central-bank-governor-says.html


Oct. 20 (Bloomberg) — Syria may start using the Russian ruble for banking transactions if the European Union bans it from operations in euros, central bank Governor Adib Mayaleh said today.

As a first step, the Syrian central bank has begun posting the exchange rate for the ruble as well as the Chinese yuan on its daily bulletin, Mayaleh said in an interview with the Arabic-language Russia Today channel.

“Don’t forget that we can carry out operations in rubles,” Mayaleh said, according to a e-mailed transcript of the interview. “In the nearest future we will agree on parameters for switching to close cooperation with Russian banks and using the ruble for international settlements.”

The EU last week expanded sanctions against Syria in a bid to end a violent crackdown on demonstrators, freezing assets of organizations affiliated with the government. At least 3,000 people have been killed in the seven-month uprising against President Bashar al-Assad, according to the United Nations.

Russia and China, allies of Syria, vetoed a UN resolution backed by the U.S. and European nations on Oct. 4 that threatened sanctions against the Syrian regime unless it halted the crackdown in 30 days.

Syrian Arab Airlines, the country’s biggest carrier, yesterday agreed to buy three new planes from Russia’s Tupolev as Western sanctions block the state-owned company’s access to maintenance and renewal services for its fleet.

Syrianair, as the company is known, signed a letter of intent to take delivery of the Tu-204SMs from Tupolev, part of state-owned United Aircraft Corp., starting in 2013. The airline will later set up a maintenance center for the jets at its headquarters in Damascus, it said in a statement on its website.

–With assistance from Tamara Walid in Abu Dhabi. Editors: Jennifer M. Freedman, Andrew Langley
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door combi #45574
Bijna oorlog: Israël & USA vs. Iran
Van Rossem

| 02-11-11 | 11:59
www.geenstijl.nl/mt/archieven/2011/11/bijna_oorlog_israel_usa_vs_ira.html


Veel linkjes en zo, maar blijf er ff bij want het gaat over de volgende internationale oorlog. First they took Manhattan (*), now they take Iran (vrij naar). Tenminste. Dat is het plan. Want Israëlische premier Netanyahu en minister van Defensie Ehud Barak proberen hun collega's te overtuigen dat het een goed idee is om Iran aan te vallen. Het bereik van Israëlische nuclear warheads wordt alvast vergroot en de Jericho-raketten worden tevens getest om te zien of ze het wel doen. Dit alles natuurlijk in perfecte strategische synergie met de US of A, die achtereenvolgens een terroristische dreiging van Iran hoaxen, roepen dat Iran moet boeten, Iraanse diplomaten het land uit willen jorissen en een rant van Iran weghonen.

Ondertussen snijdt Amerika alvast de banden met de Palestijnen heel cultureel-symbolisch door middels het intrekken van fondsen voor VN-cultuurclubje UNESCO na toetreding van de Palestijnen (lol @ doordramjourno). Nederland, leunstoelvriend van Israël, was trouwens ook tegen Palestijnse toetreding en daarmee automatisch vóór een oorlog met Iran. Tel oorlogstaal + testraketten + terroristenhoax + diplomatiestop + Irandis + Palestijnenbash bij elkaar op, deel het door de twee tot drie jaar die Het Westen nog heeft voor Iran zelf over nukes beschikt en weet: hamster kikkererwten, honing, tandpasta en andere niet-bederfelijke waar en bereid je voor op de eindeloze Politiek24-sessies over hoeveel politietrainers we naar Iran moeten sturen om met Playmobil in de woestijn te spelen.

Want het wordt OORLOG. Is namelijk goed voor de herverkiezing van Barack. Allah Akbar!
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door combi #45575
The price of war: Shares
What happens when the stock markets go to war?

Crushing Iraq may give a short-term fillip to shares, but further ahead the outcome will be far harder to call, warns Richard Wachman

The Observer, Sunday 2 February 2003
www.guardian.co.uk/business/2003/feb/02/iraq.internationalnews


If history is anything to go by, one iron rule can be applied to the stock market at times of war: conflict is good for shares, but only once investors become convinced that they are on the winning side.

Take the example of the Korean War, which started in 1950. When it became clear that the West would have to go to the aid of South Korea to defend it from communist troops in the north, share prices fell in the US by 13 per cent, and to a slightly lesser extent in London.

The uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Korean conflict may be instructive: there were real fears that hostilities could be a prelude to a third world war that would pit America and her allies against China and the Soviet Union.

An American dealer who now works at a large French bank in London remembers just how frightened people were at the time: 'I can recollect my father sitting at the dinner table and fretting that he would be called up again and find himself in combat, just five years after the end of the Second World War.'

As with the current situation in Iraq, it was the fear that a regional war in Korea could spill into something bigger and more dangerous that spooked world markets.

And yet, after three weeks of tumbling prices, stocks rallied as it became clear that a third world war would be averted, and that the Korean conflict could be contained. Of course, there are major differences between Korea in the early 1950s and Iraq in 2003. Arguably, the backdrop today is better than it was half a century ago. There appears to be no danger of a military clash now between the world's major powers, and there is only one superpower remaining, the United States.

Nevertheless, there is a lot of uncertainty about the implications of war with Iraq. And those uncertainties appear to be more deep-seated than at the time of the Gulf War. In October 1990 shares dived, but even before the bombing campaign began, stocks rallied as George Bush senior put together a coalition and allied troops began to pour into Saudi Arabia prior to the liberation of Kuwait. In contrast, there is no bounce currently, even as British and American troops head once more to the Gulf. Why not?

That's a difficult one. No-one doubts that America can prevail against Saddam Hussein in a conventional military confrontation, but anxieties persist that allies could find themselves bogged down in a quagmire not dissimilar to Vietnam. And the big unknown is whether intervention in Iraq will trigger some ghastly terrorist attack on civilian targets (either by al-Qaeda or one instigated by Saddam himself).

But there are other factors which make it difficult to determine the future direction of share prices. There is no example in recent history when the bursting of a stock market bubble has so closely preceded the outbreak of war. And while the statisticians and military planners can spend forever poring over charts and maps, there is another problem being posed by financial analysts: forget about the prospect of war for a moment, and consider the possibility that the excesses of recent years have not fully unwound.

As our chart shows, the big advance in stock prices came about in the last quarter of the twentieth century - but that period is unique and, possibly, the exception rather than the rule. Do we expect shares to be such fantastic investments in the future?

Of course, no one knows, but history does not work in favour of the 'cult of the equity'. Analysts point out that if you look at the returns from shares over the past 200 years, the yield is no more than 1 per cent, once inflation has been taken into account.

That statistic makes chilling reading, but it should be remembered when private investors are asked to look at returns from shares over the past 20 or 30 years by financial advisers eager to drum up business.

Returns from the stock market can be as high or as low as people want, depending on the starting point. A graph that begins from 1900 will be very different from one that kicks off in 1919 - the years prior to, and during the First World War, were a dreadful period for equities.

But the question of valuation levels for share prices is one that refuses to go away. As has been pointed out time and time again, Wall Street is still overvalued when the conventional yardstick of the ratio between share prices and corporate earnings is applied.

London is much nearer its historic norm. Does that mean it is worth buying shares on this side of the pond? Possibly not: if you believe the US market needs to come down to London levels, the Dow Jones Industrial Average must fall by another 2,000 points, nearer 6,000 than the current 8,000. And the problem for London is that if Wall Street tumbles, the shock waves are bound to be felt around the world, as America is still the engine that drives global capitalism.

Of course, the situation will be far worse if war in the Middle East leads to a disruption of oil supplies - a development that would undoubtedly delay and jeopardise economic recovery.

As things stand, London share prices may look as if they represent reasonable value, but they are not excep tionally cheap. And canny investors will wait for two reasons: first to see how war with Iraq unfolds, and second to see whether markets plummet again - stock prices usually overcompensate on the way down, just as they overshoot when they head north.

Fund managers have already rejigged their portfo lios in a way that reflects the new investment landscape, one in which shares are less important. As we reported in these pages last week, with-profits pension funds run by the country's biggest insurers have dramatically reduced their exposure to equities - from 70 per cent in 2000, to just 35 per cent today. Their portfolios are now more heavily weighted towards cash, property and fixed-interest securities such as government bonds. That is more in keeping with weightings that were considered typical before the 1960s.

While equities languish, precious metals such as gold have seen their value soar as investors seek a safe haven during uncertain times. Gold is trading at nearly $370 an ounce for the first time in more than six years, and experts believe it could hit $400 or more in the next few months. Platinum has hit $670 an ounce, its highest since September 1986, while the Swiss franc, traditionally seen as a safe bet, is approaching four-year highs against the greenback.

But for stock markets, there is little evidence to suggest that they will resume their bull run. A successful war against Iraq will doubtless produce a rally, but what happens further out is anyone's guess.
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door combi #45594
Netanyahu trying to persuade cabinet to support attack on Iran
Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, who previously objected to attacking Iran, was recently persuaded by Netanyahu and Barak to support such a move.

Published 00:51 02.11.11 Latest update 00:51 02.11.11
By Barak Ravid, Amos Harel, Zvi Zrahiya and Jonathan Lis
www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/netanyahu-trying-to-persuade-cabinet-to-support-attack-on-iran-1.393214

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak are trying to muster a majority in the cabinet in favor of military action against Iran, a senior Israeli official has said. According to the official, there is a "small advantage" in the cabinet for the opponents of such an attack.

Netanyahu and Barak recently persuaded Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, who previously objected to attacking Iran, to support such a move.

Although more than a million Israelis have had to seek shelter during a week of rockets raining down on the south, political leaders have diverted their attention to arguing over a possible war with Iran. Leading ministers were publicly dropping hints on Tuesday that Israeli could attack Iran, although a member of the forum of eight senior ministers said no such decision had been taken.

Senior ministers and diplomats said the International Atomic Energy Agency's report, due to be released on November 8, will have a decisive effect on the decisions Israel makes.

The commotion regarding Iran was sparked by journalist Nahum Barnea's column in Yedioth Ahronoth last Friday. Barnea's concerned tone and his editors' decision to run the column under the main headline ("Atomic Pressure" ) repositioned the debate on Iran from closed rooms to the media's front pages.

Reporters could suddenly ask the prime minister and defense minister whether they intend to attack Iran in the near future and the political scene went haywire.

Western intelligence officials agree that Iran is forging ahead with its nuclear program. Intelligence services now say it will take Iran two or three years to get the bomb once it decides to (it hasn't made the decision yet ).

According to Western experts' analyses, an attack on Iran in winter is almost impossible, because the thick clouds would obstruct the Israel Air Force's performance.

Netanyahu did not rule out the possibility of the need for a military action on Iran this week. During his Knesset address on Monday, Netanyahu warned of Iran's increased power and influence. "One of those regional powers is Iran, which is continuing its efforts to obtain nuclear weapons. A nuclear Iran would constitute a grave threat to the Middle East and the entire world, and of course it is a direct and grave threat on us," he said.

Barak said Israel should not be intimidated but did not rule out the possibility that Israel would launch a military attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. "I object to intimidation and saying Israel could be destroyed by Iran," he said.

"We're not hiding our thoughts. However there are issues we don't discuss in public ... We have to act in every way possible and no options should be taken off the table ... I believe diplomatic pressure and sanctions must be brought to bear against Iran," he said.

Strategic Affairs Minister Moshe Ya'alon said he preferred an American military attack on Iran to an Israeli one. "A military move is the last resort," he said.

Interior Minister Eli Yishai has not made his mind up yet on the issue. In a speech to Shas activists in the north on Monday Yishai said "this is a complicated time and it's better not to talk about how complicated it is. This possible action is keeping me awake at night. Imagine we're [attacked] from the north, south and center. They have short-range and long-range missiles - we believe they have about 100,000 rockets and missiles."

Intelligence and Atomic Energy Minister Dan Meridor said he supports an American move against Iran. In an interview to the Walla! website some two weeks ago Meridor said "It's clear to all that a nuclear Iran is a grave danger and the whole world, led by the United States, must make constant efforts to stop Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons. The Iranians already have more than four tons of 3-4 percent enriched uranium and 70 kgs. of 20 percent enriched uranium. It's clear to us they are continuing to make missiles. Iran's nuclearization is not only a threat to Israel but to several other Western states, and the international interest must unite here."

Former Defense Minister Benjamin Ben-Eliezer said he feared a "horror scenario" in which Netanyahu and Barak decide to attack Iran. He warned of a "rash act" and said he hoped "common sense will prevail."

On Tuesday, Barak said at the Knesset's Finance Committee that the state budget must be increased by NIS 7-8 a year for five years to fulfill Israel's security needs and answer the social protest. "The situation requires expanding the budget to enable us to act in a responsible way regarding the defense budget considering the challenges, as well as fulfill some of the demands coming from the Trajtenberg committee," he said.
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door combi #45629
CHINA-IRAN MISSILE SALES
Nov 2 2011
p.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/nov/2/inside-the-ring-308062640/?page=all#pagebreak


China is continuing to provide advanced missiles and other conventional arms to Iran and may be doing so in violation of U.N. sanctions against the Tehran regime, according to a draft report by the congressional U.S.-China Commission.

“China continues to provide Iran with what could be considered advanced conventional weapons,” the report of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission says.

According to the report, which will be made public Nov. 16, China sold $312 million worth of arms to Iran, second only to Russia, after Congress passed the Iran Freedom Support Act in 2006 that allows the U.S. government to sanction foreign companies that provide advanced arms to Iran.

The report also noted that, after Russia began cutting back arms transfers to Iran in 2008, China became the largest arms supplier to the Iranian military.

Most of the weapons transfers involved sales of Chinese anti-ship cruise missiles, including C-802 missiles that China promised the United States in 1997 would not be exported to Iran.

China also built an entire missile plant in Iran last year to produce the Nasr-1 anti-ship cruise missile.

“Because of the relatively short range of these missiles, China’s provision of them to Iran does not violate the Iran, North Korea and Syria Nonproliferation Act of 2006, which seeks to prevent the transfer of only those missiles that can carry a 500-kilogram warhead more than 300 kilometers,” the report says.

“It is possible, however, that these transactions violate the Iran Freedom Support Act, or the Comprehensive Iran Sanctions, Accountability and Divestment Act of 2010, which both use the ambiguous term ‘advanced conventional weapons.’ “

Regarding China’s professed claims to have ended all backing for Iran’s nuclear- and ballistic-missile programs, the report says “there has been speculation that China, or Chinese entities, have quietly continued to provide some support for Iran’s pursuit of weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missile capabilities.”

The report says China also is supporting North Korea’s military and providing economic and technical assistance to Pyongyang.

The report concludes: “Despite Beijing’s stated claim to be acting as a responsible major power, China continues to place its national interests ahead of regional stability by providing economic and diplomatic support to countries that undermine international security.”

Chinese Embassy spokesman Wang Baodong denied China violated U.N. sanctions.

“When it comes to the issue of nonproliferation, China has been strictly adhering to the relevant U.N. resolutions and faithfully carries out its international obligations while strictly implementing its relevant domestic policies and regulations in the field.”

He said the commission “should cast off its Cold War mentality, respect the facts and stop making unwarranted allegations against China.”

MISSILE DEFENSE LIMITS

The Obama administration, despite public claims to the contrary, appears ready to try and limit U.S. missile defenses in agreements, according to a key House Republican leader.

Rep. Michael R. Turner, Ohio Republican and chairman of the House Armed Services strategic forces subcommittee, said during a hearing Wednesday that he is concerned the administration is working to amend the NATO-Russia Council charter “to create guarantees regarding missile defense.”

“That has no support here and should be a nonstarter,” Mr. Turner said in a prepared statement for the hearing.

The charter outlines relations between Russia’s government and NATO members for the council, which was created in 2002 as part of the alliance.

Moscow, for the past several years, has been demanding legal guarantees that U.S. missile defenses in Europe will not be used to target Russian missiles – guarantees that missile defense advocates say would limit U.S. defenses.

CHINA LINKED TO RSA ATTACK

Computer hackers in China likely carried out the sophisticated cyber-attack against the security company RSA in March, according to the draft annual report of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission.

RSA announced in March that its security product was compromised through a cyber-intrusion. The company provides encryption services that allow government and contractor users to log on remotely to secure computer networks.

“Although the company did not name China specifically, subsequent research demonstrated that components of the attack utilized a tool called ‘HTran,’ developed by a well-known member of the hacking group ‘Honker Union of China,’ ” the report says.

Analysis of the hacking tool revealed that the attackers tried to mask their location by routing command instructions from mainland China through computer servers in Japan, Taiwan, Europe and the United States, the report says.

“The perpetrators then used information about the compromised RSA security product in order to target a number of the firm’s customers, including at least three prominent entities within the U.S. defense industrial base,” the report adds, noting that those intrusions and intrusion attempts “also originated in China and appeared to be state-sponsored.”

Because the attack involved stealing technology that involved encryption and coding technologies, computer experts have said the sophistication was beyond the abilities of most nonstate hackers.

NORTH KOREA TWEETS

The communist government in North Korea has taken to Twitter. According to U.S. officials, a North Korean government-linked Twitter account has been operating daily since August 2010.

The Pyongyang account, @uriminzok puts out a steady stream of messages on Twitter, mainly to highlight content from a North Korean propaganda website aimed at overseas Koreans.

The website is run out of Shenyang, China, and operated by North Korea’s United Front Department of the Workers’ Party of Korea, a quasi-intelligence and influence organization. The department appears to be connected to North Korean efforts directed against rival South Korea.

According to U.S. officials, the North Koreans appear to regard Twitter and other social media as an additional channel to spread propaganda extolling dictator Kim Jong-il and other aspects of the communist regime.

U.S. intelligence agencies have been monitoring activity on the account and uncovered some interesting patterns.

For example, the account went silent after South Korean hackers broke into it and were able to shut it down for two months. The account resumed its tweets March 5.

Activity has ranged from as few as three tweets a day to as many as 30.

Most of the Korean-language tweets link to North Korean propaganda articles, many of which extol the “Dear Leader” Kim, and other propaganda.

GAME ON

The Army will not be run over by those in Congress and in the Pentagon who want to cancel its next-generation all-purpose vehicle.

At a cost of $54 billion, the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) is a ripe target for budget-cutters in this age of finding ways to reduce the ballooning federal deficit.

A Senate subcommittee already has voted to defund. There are also Pentagon political appointees who would knock it out of the next five-year budget, says Washington Times reporter Rowan Scarborough.

But the Army is standing firm, saying it must have a solider-protected armored vehicle to ferry ground forces amid the dangers of improvised explosive devices and rocket-propelled grenades.

It would replace the venerable, but more vulnerable, Humvee, a jeeplike vehicle not originally designed to survive the types of roadside bombs exploding in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Gen. Peter W. Chiarelli, the Army’s vice chief of staff, told the House Armed Services subcommittee on readiness that the service needs time to develop the JLTV and see if it makes better sense than continuing to buy refortified Humvees.

“I just think it’s absolutely essential that we be allowed to continue that critical work, or we will end up with a force that is not modernized,” he said. “And a force that is not modernized is an unbalanced force, and in the end it will cost us lives.”

The Army is not just talking. Weeks before Gen. Chiarelli testified, it issued a draft request for proposal to industry to show what they would produce if they won the JLTV production contract.

Loren B. Thompson, who heads the Lexington Institute, said the Army already has canceled new missile and communications systems, and may now be forced to give up the 70-mph, all-terrain JLTV.

“Does anybody in the Obama Administration understand that killing such programs nearly guarantees soldiers will die unnecessarily in future wars?” Mr. Thompson wrote in a column, “The Cloud Hanging Over America’s Army.”

“Since coming into office, it has presided over the cancellation of nearly two dozen next-generation vehicles, munitions, communications links and other combat systems that would have helped America’s soldiers to survive and win in future wars.

“To make matters worse, it has tightened up on contracting terms to such a degree that defense companies aren’t even sure they want to participate in the programs that remain. The arsenal of the future is disappearing with each passing month, and today’s savings are being bought at the expense of tomorrow’s soldiers.”
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door combi #45848
Tromgeroffel rond Iran
vrijdag 4 november 2011
www.stelling.nl/kleintje/actueel/VAMW1320411994.html


Gisteren opende de Engelse krant the Guardian met het nieuws dat de USA een aanval op Iran aan het voorbereiden was en dat het Verenigd Koninkrijk uiteraard steun zou verlenen als het zover mocht komen. Niks geleerd van Irak, Afghanistan enz. enz.

Vandaag komt in de Telegraph het nieuws dat het Internationale Atoom Agentschap IAEA binnenkort met een rapport zal komen waarin staat dat Iran componenten van kernwapens aan het testen is, waaronder de zogenaamde 'triggers', een raket voor nucleaire lading aan het ontwikkelen is (de Sejil?) en simulatieprogrammas voor nucleaire wapensystemen aan het ontwerpen is.

In oktober beschuldigde de VS Iran ervan betrokken te zijn bij een terroristies complot in de VS en op de G20 was de “Iraanse dreiging” onderwerp van gesprek tussen o.a. Obomba en Sarkozy.

In de zomer kondigde Iran al aan dat zij de output van het verrijkingsprogramma zou verhogen tot 20% verrijkt uranium. Volgens Iran voor een reactor voor medisch onderzoek. Voor atoomwapens is echter 90% verrijkt uranium nodig en daar is Iran nog lang niet aan toe.

Dit soort tromgeroffel in de burgerlijke pers komt wel tegelijkertijd met de sociale onrust in de VS, het instorten van de kapitaalmarkten, het gerommel rond de Euro en de hogere versnelling voor de nederzettingen politiek van Israel.
Ein frischer fröhlicher Krieg zou al dat gezeur wel weer even naar de achtergrond verplaatsen. Iemand nog een peul?
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door combi #45962
U.S. backs away from sanctions on Iran central bank

Despite vows to punish Iran for an alleged plot to kill the Saudi ambassador, U.S. officials have decided that such sanctions could disrupt oil markets and further damage the U.S. and world economies.
By Paul Richter, Los Angeles Times

November 4, 2011
www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-us-iran-20111104,0,6106373.story


Reporting from Washington— Despite weeks of tough warnings, the Obama administration has backed away from its calls to impose new and potentially crippling economic sanctions against Iran in retaliation for an alleged plot to kill Saudi Arabia’s ambassador on U.S. soil, according to diplomats and American officials.

Though U.S. officials had declared that they would “hold Iran accountable” for a purported plot, they now have decided that a proposed move against Iran’s central bank could disrupt international oil markets and further damage the reeling American and world economies.

The softening position illustrates how concern over the weak economy has hobbled the administration when it comes to combating what officials describe as Iran’s efforts to attack U.S. interests in the Middle East and elsewhere.

U.S. officials and foreign diplomats added that the likelihood that other governments would strongly resist such a step also helped push the central bank measure from consideration and diplomatic discussion.

The pivot to more limited tactics has surprised some other governments that expected bold action after the administration warned that it would not tolerate Iranian terrorist plots on American soil. Some diplomats said it may be difficult for U.S. officials to persuade other governments to scale back their business with Iran when the United States was being so reticent.

“The others are asking: ‘Why should we take on the Iranians, when the U.S. isn’t doing so much?’ ” one diplomat said.

Rather than pursue sanctions against Iran’s central bank, U.S. officials now say they will seek to persuade some of Tehran’s key trading partners — including the Persian Gulf states, South Korea and Japan — to join the U.S. in enforcing existing sanctions. The U.S. will also add a few more narrowly focused sanctions, they said.

Federal officials three weeks ago said an Iranian American car dealer in Texas sought to enlist a man he believed to be a Mexican drug dealer to assassinate Adel al-Jubeir, the Saudi ambassador to the United States.

U.S. officials contend the plot was put in motion by the Quds Force, a special unit of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, and that they have evidence that money was transferred from Iran to pay for the assassination.

The administration’s decision to back off the toughest sanctions comes at a moment of growing Western concern about both Iran’s suspected nuclear weapons programs and the apparently increasing pace of its covert military activities, especially those of the Quds Force. Next week, the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog, is expected to release a report that will provide unprecedented detail about Iran’s alleged effort to gain nuclear weapons know-how.

The sanctions on the Central Bank of Iran would have aimed to isolate it from the world economy by barring any firm that does business with it from transactions with U.S. financial institutions. That would make it much tougher for Iran to sell crude oil, the top source of government revenue.

Many governments, including Russia and China, have cooperated only reluctantly with past international sanctions on Iran and view proposals to sanction the central bank as too sweeping and damaging to ordinary Iranians.

Some U.S. officials have pointed out in internal discussions that the step could risk the cooperation of a number of countries that have been less enthusiastic about past international sanctions, including some of the most important developing nations. Sanctions on the central bank would work far better if other nations agreed to take the same approach, experts say.

Some Iranian officials have declared that any sanctions on the central bank would be treated as an “act of war.”

The administration’s turn away from the central bank sanctions puts it at odds with many on Capitol Hill, who have had such measures at the top of their list of priorities.

This week, the House Foreign Affairs Committee approved a bill that would require the president to sanction Iran’s central bank if he determined that it was supporting terrorism, nuclear weapons development or other proscribed activities. The language was proposed by Rep. Howard L. Berman (D-Valley Village).

Rep. Adam Smith (D-Wash.), ranking minority member of the House Armed Services Committee, said in an interview that he supports central bank sanctions despite the risk to oil prices.

“All these steps entail huge risks,” he said, but “our best approach is to continue to ramp up economic pressures.”

paul.richter@latimes.com
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door baphomet #46041
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door combi #46045
'We' gaan op missie


'Iran luistert Nederlandse af'
Laatste update: 7 november 2011 23:09
www.nu.nl/binnenland/2662078/iran-luistert-nederlandse-af.html


AMSTERDAM - Een woordvoerster van de aanhangers van de Bahá'i-gemeenschap in Nederland wordt afgeluisterd door Iran.


In het televisieprogramma Nieuwsuur zei zij maandagavond dat ze door de Nederlandse overheid is geïnformeerd dat Iran meeluistert tijdens haar telefoongesprekken.

Of de bewering klopt, weet de zegsvrouw niet. "Ik kan dat zelf niet vaststellen, maar het zou best kunnen", zegt ze. Iran heeft volgens haar vastgelegd Bahá'i in hun ontwikkeling te willen blokkeren.

Tweede Kamer


Bahá'i worden onderdrukt in Iran. In maart stuurde de Tweede Kamer nog een brief aan het parlement van Iran, waarin de Kamer pleitte voor meer tolerantie voor de Bahá'i-gemeenschap.

Het Bahá'i-geloof telt ruim vijf miljoen aanhangers wereldwijd. De aanhangers geloven dat alle wereldreligies uit dezelfde bron komen, dat er maar een God is en dat iedereen daar een kind van is.
1 jaar, 6 maanden geleden door baphomet #46046
combi schreef:
'We' gaan op missie


'Iran luistert Nederlandse af'
Laatste update: 7 november 2011 23:09
www.nu.nl/binnenland/2662078/iran-luistert-nederlandse-af.html


AMSTERDAM - Een woordvoerster van de aanhangers van de Bahá'i-gemeenschap in Nederland wordt afgeluisterd door Iran.


In het televisieprogramma Nieuwsuur zei zij maandagavond dat ze door de Nederlandse overheid is geïnformeerd dat Iran meeluistert tijdens haar telefoongesprekken.

Of de bewering klopt, weet de zegsvrouw niet. "Ik kan dat zelf niet vaststellen, maar het zou best kunnen", zegt ze. Iran heeft volgens haar vastgelegd Bahá'i in hun ontwikkeling te willen blokkeren.

Tweede Kamer


Bahá'i worden onderdrukt in Iran. In maart stuurde de Tweede Kamer nog een brief aan het parlement van Iran, waarin de Kamer pleitte voor meer tolerantie voor de Bahá'i-gemeenschap.

Het Bahá'i-geloof telt ruim vijf miljoen aanhangers wereldwijd. De aanhangers geloven dat alle wereldreligies uit dezelfde bron komen, dat er maar een God is en dat iedereen daar een kind van is.


www.quofataferunt.com/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=1347:bahai
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